73 

1 

  

(General Circulation 

Models, GCMs)

GCMs

(TCCIP)

(WGEN)

1 

(20072008)

CGCM2_3_2CM3ECHAM5_OM

GFDL_CM2_1CCSM3HADCM3
GCM

(2009)

GCM

CGCM3_1_ 

T63CSIRC_MK3_DECHAM5_OMGFDL_ 
CM2_0

GFDL_CM2_1

MIROC3_2

 

(2012)

TCCIP

CGCM2_3_2

CM3

ECHAM5_OM

GFDL_CM2_1 

2

2%

0.6

CM3

0.2

CM3

MK3_0

CM3

0.3

15%

30% 

(Special Report on 

Emissions Scenarios, SRES)

A1A2B1

B2

A1

A1B

A1

21

A1B

A1

(

) 

CNRM_CM3CSIRO_MK3_0
GCM

(A1B)

(1985~1999)

(2020~2039)

1

2

(

24.95

121.03)

(

24.88

121.13)

GCM

CM3

MK3_0

A1B

 

GCM

7

8

m

1~12

CT

m

m

CP

m

m

T

m

P

m

m

T

m

GCM

RP

m

GCM

7

8