2
index (WEWI) according to the given principles. However, this evaluation is subjective,
and human error may affect the results when using trial and error to adjust the weights of
the major and minor factors in the WEWI. The effectiveness of this system’s warnings
has been doubted, because its early warning ability and warning risk cannot be explored,
and thus related organizations have had a hard time using the information that the WEWI
provided.
The difference between early warning systems and monitoring systems is that the
former should explore the uncertainty of future hydrologic conditions, and evaluate water
shortage situations caused by hydrologic processes in a specific water supply district
during a specific period. With regard to reservoir water supply systems, if it is known that
a severe water shortage will occur in the future, then to fulfill the water demand during
the operation period, early water-limiting measures may be used to avoid a disastrous
water shortage before the next wet season arrives. Common sense seems to indicate the
importance of system establishment pre-processing, but the empirical support is still
lacked. Recent studies that have attempted to establish a direct relationship have not been
very successful. The study review the suitability of “Regional Water Resources
Regulations” according to the mechanism of established model that build up with the
selected factors. The result of this study could be useful to water resources manager
responsible for planning a water resources drought early warning system in local
conditions.
Keywords: Drought, Drought early warning, Drought early warning index, Water
shortage rate, Regional water resources regulations.
(Wilhite et al.,
2007)
(Vlachos and James, 1983)
(Palmer Drought
Severity Index, PDSI)
(Stan-
dardized Precipitation Index, SPI)
(Total
Water Deficit, TWD)
(Days of
Supply Remaining, DSR)
(Surface
Water Supply Index, SWSI)
(Reclamation Drought Index, RDI)(Hayes, 2006;
Heim, 2002; Keyantash and Dracup, 2002; Wilhite,
2005)
Wilhite and Glants (1985)USISDR (International
Strategy for Disaster Reduction, 2007)
Iglesias
(2009)
(Meteorological drought)